Almost all the regions and autonomous provinces “in the last week have passed the stress test of the health system developed by Altems, with the exception of the Sardinia Region which records a value of 1.11 and therefore appears to be above the first threshold of attention equivalent to the incidence of 50 new cases per 100 thousand inhabitants “. This is highlighted by Americo Cicchetti, director of the High School of Economics and Management of Health Systems of the Catholic University (Altems) who has developed a stress index of the health system that takes into account the incidence of cases on the population compared to the number of people vaccinated.
“The stress indicator calculated over the week (22-28 July) shows a national average value of 0.47 (with an average weekly incidence of 48 new cases per 100 thousand inhabitants – highlights the report – and 53% of vaccinated compared to the resident population), with different values among the Regions. Among the Regions and autonomous provinces “at greatest risk we find Tuscany at 0.81, Veneto at 0.72, Sicily at 0.71, Umbria at 0.69 and Lazio at 0.68, while Molise and Puglia mark the lowest values, equal to 0.17 and 0.19 respectively – highlights Cicchetti – The Regions of Sicily and Veneto report the same stress indicator (0.71 and 0.72 respectively) despite the fact that the incidence of Veneto (72.27) is higher than that of Sicily (66.06); this reason – he continues – is due to the different speeds of the vaccination campaign between the two Regions, in fact Veneto records 2,561,465 vaccinations while Sicily has vaccinated 2,356,485 people “.
“The results of the stress indicator – continues Cicchetti – should be read as an anticipatory signal of the occupancy data of the intensive care and non-critical area beds. As of July 26, none of the regions and autonomous provinces are at risk of overloading in either of the two areas being assessed (we recall the thresholds for passing into the yellow zone equal to 10% and 15%, respectively) “.
“However – he reports – analyzing the monitoring of new weekly admissions to intensive care, the average value recorded in the Italian context is equal to 0.16 per 100 thousand inhabitants (an increase of 0.09 compared to the previous week). more entries in the intensive care setting during the last week were highlighted in Sardinia (0.56 per 100 thousand), Sicily (0.31 per 100 thousand) and Veneto (0.29) “, he concludes.