Polls: the Lega-FI federation does not appeal to voters (especially in the South)

POLITICAL ELECTORAL POLLS TODAY 25 AUGUST 2021

POLITICAL ELECTORAL POLLS TODAY – The single party Lega-Forza Italia would reach a maximum of 25-26 percent of the consensus, and in the South 63-65 percent of the Italian electorate would not like the federation with Salvini. This is revealed by the estimates of Noto Sondaggi, as stated by Antonio Noto at theAdnkronos. “In politics it is always like this one plus one never equals two, but one point five. Lega and Forza Italia united without Brothers of Italy would in any case displease a part of the electorate that would not like this type of decision by not voting or by choosing competing parties ”, said the expert.

“Our latest estimates on the one-party Lega-Forza Italia reach a maximum of 25-26 percent,” continues Noto. “The greatest opposition is registered among Forza Italia voters: only one in two voters is in favor of the union of the two parties”. A figure that decreases looking at the territory: “If we analyze the Forza Italia electorate in territorial terms, in the South 63 – 65% do not like the federation with the League which, despite the success in the European Championships, still suffers a certain perception in the Mezzogiorno and in fact the exploits of the Europeans have not been repeated at administrative and regional level ”, underlines Noto.

HOW THE POLLS ARE DONE

The electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling societies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to be interviewed that is sufficiently large and representative of the population to be analyzed. In the case of polls on voting intentions for parties or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the Italian population of age, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls.

This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible. Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the indicated margin of error is 3 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. It is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population that is the greatest difficulty for pollsters. Interviews for political electoral polls are usually conducted with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out the interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.

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